The Cross-Overs

Three cross-overs are followed: Price Change Tipping Point, MACD and RSI.

Price Tipping Point. A total of the slope differential of the current closing price to the prices of previous closes. A buy signal occurs when the total goes over zero and a sell goes below.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) I use an optimal value.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) Like the MACD - RSI crossover uses an optimal value.

Monday, March 31, 2014

Unreliable Data From Yahoo

I use Yahoo's financial quote server to get the historical data used for the models.    There are some very large gaps of data in the Yahoo database.  For instance take a look at the ETF EEM there is almost a month of data missing from the middle of Dec '13 through the middle of Jan '14.

I will not be posting updates until Yahoo has corrected its database or until I find a more reliable source of historical data.

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

Natural Gas Model Is Out & Finance Model Is In

So in the paper account I will be buying Finance(FAS) and selling Natural Gas(UGAZ)

Where The Models Presently Stand


SymbolPrevious CallExecute DateCurrent CallExecute Date
BIBSELL2014-03-03BUY2014-03-06
ERXSELL2014-02-27BUY2014-03-04
FASSELL2014-03-21BUYToday
MIDUSELL2014-03-14BUY2014-03-19
RETLSELL2013-12-09BUY2013-12-12
SPXLSELL2014-03-20BUYPrevious Day
TECLSELL2014-02-20BUY2014-03-10
TNASELL2014-03-06BUY2014-03-11
UGAZBUY2014-03-24SELLToday
URTYSELL2014-03-18BUY2014-03-21

Tuesday, March 25, 2014

Buy SPXL

So in the paper account I will be buying SP 500(SPXL),

Where The Models Presently Stand

SymbolPrevious CallExecute DateCurrent CallExecute Date
BIBSELL2014-03-03BUY2014-03-06
ERXSELL2014-02-27BUY2014-03-04
FASSELL2014-03-21BUYNext Day*
MIDUSELL2014-03-14BUY2014-03-19
SPXLSELL2014-03-20BUYToday
TECLSELL2014-02-20BUY2014-03-10
TNASELL2014-03-06BUY2014-03-11
UGAZBUYPrevious DaySELLNext Day*
URTYSELL2014-03-18BUY2014-03-21
* tentative - based on 12:51 PM numbers.

Monday, March 24, 2014

Nat. Gas Model Says Buy

So in the paper account I will be buying Natural Gas(UGAZ),

Where The Models Presently Stand

SymbolPrevious CallExecute DateCurrent CallExecute Date
BIBSELL2014-03-03BUY2014-03-06
ERXSELL2014-02-27BUY2014-03-04
FASBUY2014-03-19SELL2014-03-21
MIDUSELL2014-03-14BUY2014-03-19
RETLSELL2013-12-09BUY2013-12-12
SPXLSELL2014-03-20BUYNext Day*
TECLSELL2014-02-20BUY2014-03-10
TNASELL2014-03-06BUY2014-03-11
UGAZSELL2014-03-19BUYToday
URTYSELL2014-03-18BUY2014-03-21
* tentative - based on 10:08 AM numbers.

Friday, March 21, 2014

One Model (Russell 2000) Buys; Another (Finance) Sells

So in the paper account I will be buying Russell 2000(URTY)  and  selling Finance(FAS)

Where The Models Presently Stand

SymbolPrevious CallExecute DateCurrent CallExecute Date
BIBSELL2014-03-03BUY2014-03-06
ERXSELL2014-02-27BUY2014-03-04
FASBUY2014-03-19SELLToday
MIDUSELL2014-03-14BUY2014-03-19
RETLSELL2013-12-09BUY2013-12-12
SPXLBUY2014-03-18SELLPrevious Day
TECLSELL2014-02-20BUY2014-03-10
TNASELL2014-03-06BUY2014-03-11
UGAZSELL2014-03-19BUYNext Day*
URTYSELL2014-03-18BUYToday
* tentative - based on 3:23 PM numbers. Wait List

Thursday, March 20, 2014

SP500 Model Is Bearish

So in the paper account I will be selling SP 500(SPXL)

Where The Models Presently Stand

SymbolPrevious CallExecute DateCurrent CallExecute Date
BIBSELL2014-03-03BUY2014-03-06
ERXSELL2014-02-27BUY2014-03-04
FASBUYPrevious DaySELLNext Day*
MIDUSELL2014-03-14BUYPrevious Day
RETLSELL2013-12-09BUY2013-12-12
SPXLBUY2014-03-18SELLToday
TECLSELL2014-02-20BUY2014-03-10
TNASELL2014-03-06BUY2014-03-11
UGAZBUY2014-03-17SELLPrevious Day
URTYSELL2014-03-18BUYNext Day*
* tentative - based on 1:38 PM numbers.

Wednesday, March 19, 2014

Models Buying Finance and Mid Caps, Selling Nat. Gas.

So in the paper account I will be buying Finance(FAS) and Mid Caps(MIDU) while  selling Natural Gas(UGAZ),

Where The Models Presently Stand


SymbolPrevious CallExecute DateCurrent CallExecute Date
BIBSELL2014-03-03BUY2014-03-06
ERXSELL2014-02-27BUY2014-03-04
FASSELL2014-03-14BUYToday
MIDUSELL2014-03-14BUYToday
RETLSELL2013-12-09BUY2013-12-12
SPXLBUYPrevious DaySELLNext Day*
TECLSELL2014-02-20BUY2014-03-10
TNASELL2014-03-06BUY2014-03-11
UGAZBUY2014-03-17SELLToday
URTYBUY2014-03-14SELLPrevious Day
*-tentative, based on 12Noon #s.

Tuesday, March 18, 2014

The SP500 and R2K Models With Mixed Signals

The SP500 model says buy but the Russell says sell.  But then they sent mixed signals last week.

So in the paper account I will be buying SP 500(SPXL), selling Russell 2000(URTY),

Where The Models Presently Stand

SymbolPrevious CallExecute DateCurrent CallExecute Date
BIBSELL2014-03-03BUY2014-03-06
ERXSELL2014-02-27BUY2014-03-04
FASSELL2014-03-14BUYNext Day*
MIDUSELL2014-03-14BUYNext Day*
RETLSELL2013-12-09BUY2013-12-12
SPXLSELL2014-03-13BUYToday
TECLSELL2014-02-20BUY2014-03-10
TNASELL2014-03-06BUY2014-03-11
UGAZBUYPrevious DaySELLNext Day*
URTYBUY2014-03-14SELLToday
*-tentative based on early #s.

Monday, March 17, 2014

Natural Gas Model Back To Buy.

So in the paper account I will be buying Natural Gas(UGAZ),

Where The Models Presently Stand


SymbolPrevious CallExecute DateCurrent CallExecute Date
BIBSELL2014-03-03BUY2014-03-06
ERXSELL2014-02-27BUY2014-03-04
FASBUY2014-03-12SELL2014-03-14
MIDUBUY2014-03-12SELL2014-03-14
RETLSELL2013-12-09BUY2013-12-12
SPXLBUY2014-03-11SELL2014-03-13
TECLSELL2014-02-20BUY2014-03-10
TNASELL2014-03-06BUY2014-03-11
UGAZSELL2014-03-12BUYToday
URTYSELL2014-02-25BUY2014-03-14

Friday, March 14, 2014

The R2K Model Says 'Buy' while Finance and Small Caps Say 'Sell'

In the paper account I will be buying Russell 2000(URTY) and
selling Finance(FAS) & Mid Caps(MIDU),

Where the models presently stand

SymbolPrevious CallExecute DateCurrent CallExecute Date
BIB SELL2014-03-03BUY2014-03-06
ERX SELL2014-02-27BUY2014-03-04
FAS BUY2014-03-12SELLToday
MIDU BUY2014-03-12SELLToday
RETLSELL2013-12-09BUY2013-12-12
SPXL 2BUY2014-03-11SELLPrevious Day
TECL SELL2014-02-20BUY2014-03-10
TNA SELL2014-03-06BUY2014-03-11
UGAZ BUY2014-03-10SELL2014-03-12
URTY SELL2014-02-25BUYToday

Wednesday, March 12, 2014

Friday, March 7, 2014

The Model For Finance Quickly Turns Around To The Sell Side

So in the paper account I will be selling Finance(FAS).

Using the current numbers (11AM) Natural Gas(UGAZ) maybe a buy on Monday.

Wednesday, March 5, 2014

Financial Model Is Bullish.

In the paper account I will be buying Finance(FAS).

The model for Real Estate, based on DRN, is producing inconsistent signals so that model will be dropped for a Natural Gas 3X leveraged ETN (UGAZ).   Which, just recently, gave a sell signal.